The Daily Belmore

opinions, links, and more…

Belmore Rankings: Week 15

Here’s how I see it after the final week of the regular season:

  1. LSU (11-2)
  2. Virginia Tech (11-2)
  3. Ohio State (11-1)
  4. Missouri (11-2)
  5. West Virginia (10-2)
  6. Oklahoma (11-2)
  7. Georgia (10-2)
  8. Kansas (11-1)
  9. Arizona State (10-2)
  10. Florida (9-3)
  11. Brigham Young (10-2)
  12. USC (10-2)
  13. Boston College (10-3)
  14. Hawaii (12-0)
  15. South Florida (9-3)
  16. Illinois (9-3)
  17. Clemson (9-3)
  18. UCF (10-3)
  19. Virginia (9-3)
  20. Texas (9-3)
  21. Tennessee (9-4)
  22. Boise State (10-2)
  23. Cincinnati (9-3)
  24. Connecticut (9-3)
  25. Wisconsin (9-3)

Not the consensus, and I don’t like that Missouri is ahead of Oklahoma (although, the point of this poll is to not heavily weigh one game, nor is it to factor in margin of victory, much to the dismay of poor Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops). I’ll see about some tweaks in the offseason, but all in all I think it did a pretty good job.

Now, if I ruled the lands of college football? I’d have a playoff with those top 8 (or 16 if you want to add an extra week) teams, leading to two semifinal games played at two of the BCS bowls, and then the championship game at another. The fourth bowl could be either a third place game (which would be tough on the fans for travel) or it could have it’s classic match-up using teams that did not make it to the playoffs. I don’t have all the specifics, I just don’t think it’s fair to have everything decided by computers (although I still think that seasons like this are exactly why the BCS was created…to add some hard numbers to the speculation showed by the voters).

Who played the toughest schedule this year? Shockingly, it was Washington (4-9, BR: #92). Their opponents had a collective .622 winning percentage, the highest by a full point in all of FBS schools.

The easiest schedule goes to Western Kentucky (7-5, BR: #77), leapfrogging Hawaii at the end of the year. Their opponents had a collective .271 winning percentage. That’s worse than Hawaii, who was penalized with two FCS schools that I calculated as 0% teams. Pretty weak, Western Kentucky.

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December 2, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 14

LSU goes down!  Kansas goes down!  Who’s number 1?  Here’s what I think:

  1. West Virginia (10-1, BSOS Rank: #52)
  2. Ohio State (11-1, BSOS Rank: #81)
  3. Missouri (11-1, BSOS Rank: #90)
  4. LSU (10-2, BSOS Rank: #32)
  5. Georgia (10-2, BSOS Rank: #46)

Not your typical poll, but then again there is the whole thing of how my poll has absolutely no weight in subjectivity.  So suck it up.  I’ll post the entire top 25 after championship week.

The toughest schedules so far:

  1. Nebraska (5-7, BR: #72)
  2. Notre Dame (3-9, BR: #101)
  3. Washington (4-8, BR: #89)
  4. Duke (1-11, BR: #116)
  5. Mississippi (3-9, BR: #102)

And the weakest:

  1. Hawaii (11-0, BR: #20)
  2. Western Kentucky (7-5, BR: #75)
  3. Boise State (10-2, BR: #27)
  4. Kansas (11-1, BR: #14)
  5. Memphis (7-5, BR: #64)

It is still my opinion that Hawaii has not proven anything and should not play in a BCS bowl.  Then again, I would have the top 8 teams at the end of the year be in a playoff, but that’s why they don’t pay me the big bucks.

November 25, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 13

We’re closing in on the end of the college football season.  Pretty crazy season, no?  Here are my top 5:

  1. LSU (10-1, BSOS Rank: #30)
  2. Ohio State (11-1, BSOS Rank: #77)
  3. West Virginia (9-1, BSOS Rank: #65)
  4. Arizona State (9-1, BSOS Rank: #71)
  5. Missouri (10-1, BSOS Rank: #87)

Kansas will jump back up there (assuming they win) after they play Missouri.  Their schedule is really weak at this point.

Here are the 5 toughest schedules so far:

  1. Nebraska (5-6, BR: #61)
  2. Washington (4-7, BR: #83)
  3. Duke (1-10, BR: #114)
  4. Notre Dame (2-9, BR: #107)
  5. Mississippi (3-8, BR: #99)

And the 5 weakest schedules so far:

  1. Hawaii (10-0, BR: #24)
  2. Western Kentucky (7-4, BR: #71)
  3. Boise State (10-1, BR: #18)
  4. Navy (7-4, BR: #58)
  5. Kansas (11-0, BR: #7)

November 18, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

I Should Root For The Wildcats, But…

For those sports fans out there, I invite you to view the #2 Oregon Ducks taking on the unranked Arizona Wildcats tonight at Arizona Stadium at 6 pm PST on ESPN. That wily Dennis Dixon (otherwise known as the soon to be 2007 Heisman Trophy Winner) is the spark to the Ducks, who look to put up a two touchdown win on the (soon to be coachless) Wildcats.

Now, in a normal season, I’d be rooting for anyone but the Ducks (and the Cougars, but when was the last time that was necessary?), but when your conference has a chance to play for the national title, you root for that team. Even if the team is your most hated enemy.

So tune in and cheer on, and maybe (just maybe), with the help of a Kansas or LSU loss (for those that don’t know, if all three of those teams win out, the strength of schedule will push Oregon to #3), the Pac-10 will again be playing in the BCS title game.

(And for you non-sports fans out there, I’ll get back to posting non-sports related news soon enough. It’s been a busy work week, and I know I’ve been slacking!)

November 15, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 12

Down goes Ohio State! Now that there are only two unbeaten teams left, who will really end up in the national title game? Like I said, Kansas has a chance to jump up with the last few teams on their schedule, although it wouldn’t surprise me to see the rankings (the BCS ones, not mine) stay pretty stagnant if someone at the top doesn’t lose. Even with help in the computers, I don’t think real voters will help out them too much unless they dominate whoever they will face in the Big XII title game (I hope I didn’t just jinx them…).

The top 5 according to my formula:

  1. LSU (9-1, BSOS Ranking: #11)
  2. Oregon (8-1, BSOS Ranking: #10)
  3. Arizona State (9-1, BSOS Ranking: #59)
  4. Kansas (10-0, BSOS Ranking: #112)
  5. Ohio State (10-1, BSOS Ranking: #86)

As I’m too lame to remember to keep historical rankings, I have no idea what Kansas’ strength of schedule was last week. I have a feeling a lot of the teams on their schedule lost this week. And yes, I’m also too lame to look that up. What, you think a blog needs a fact checker? Pah!

The toughest schedules in the country:

  1. Duke (1-9, BR: #112)
  2. Notre Dame (1-9, BR: #113)
  3. Washington (3-7, BR: #93)
  4. Nebraska (5-6, BR: #63)
  5. Utah State (0-10, BR: #120)

Husky fans, I think I know how all of us are feeling right now. But as you can see, we’ve had a very hard year, so we should keep our thoughts (and prayers, if that’s your thing) with Jake right now. (Have no idea what I’m talking about? Go here.)

The weakest schedules:

  1. Hawaii (9-0, BR: #29)
  2. Western Kentucky (6-4, BR: #74)
  3. Florida Atlantic (5-4, BR: #73)
  4. Navy (6-4, BR: #66)
  5. Nevada (5-4, BR: #72)

I have decided to post my full Top 25 after the regular season, and again after championship week. I might post it again after bowl season, but those games hardly matter (including the BCS championship game) in my opinion due to their large level of separation from the rest of the season.

November 11, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 11

What, you thought just because I was on vacation I wouldn’t update these?  You must be crazy!

  1. Oregon (8-1, BSOS Rank: #7)
  2. LSU (8-1, BSOS Rank: #8)
  3. Ohio State (10-0, BSOS Rank: #98)
  4. Oklahoma (8-1, BSOS Rank: #59)
  5. Arizona State (8-1, BSOS Rank: #61)

Not too shabby, eh? What I find most amazing is that ASU loses to a good team and doesn’t fall very far.  Isn’t that how the real rankings should work? And on a side note, Kansas (9-0) is at #6, and just needs to play (and win, obviously) the rest of their schedule to hop over ASU and maybe even climb to the top 2.

And the toughest schedules being played:

  1. Duke (1-8, BR: #109)
  2. Notre Dame (1-8, BR: #110)
  3. Washington (3-6, BR: #85)
  4. Nebraska (4-6, BR: #75)
  5. Colorado (5-5, BR: #52)

I did not think I’d see a team like Colorado in that mix.  Here are the weakest schedules:

  1. Hawaii (8-0, BR: #41)
  2. Western Kentucky (6-3, BR: #72)
  3. Florida Atlantic (4-4, BR: #82)
  4. Memphis (4-5, BR: #89)
  5. Nevada (5-4, BR: #73)

November 4, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 10

Well, just a jumble of the top 5 this week, but still the same five teams:

  1. LSU (7-1, BSOS Rank: #15)
  2. Boston College (8-0, BSOS Rank: #91)
  3. Arizona State (8-0, BSOS Rank: #93)
  4. Oregon (7-1, BSOS Rank: #21)
  5. Ohio State (9-0, BSOS Rank: #104)

And for the first time since I started doing these ratings, UW (BR: #99) has fallen below WSU (BR: #82). So sad…

The teams playing the toughest schedules:

  1. Notre Dame (1-7, BR: #107)
  2. Washington (2-6, BR: #99)
  3. Duke (1-7, BR: #108)
  4. Mississippi (2-7, BR: #103)
  5. Stanford (3-5, BR: #76)

And the teams playing the weakest schedules:

  1. Hawaii (8-0, BR: #46)
  2. Memphis (4-4, BR: #90)
  3. Western Kentucky (5-3, BR: #72)
  4. Florida Atlantic (4-4, BR: #80)
  5. Southern Miss (4-3, BR: #70)

The only other undefeated team I haven’t already mentioned is Kansas, who comes in at #6. I can’t wait until next week!

October 28, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 9

Everyone keeps talking about parity when they mention all the upsets in college football this year. While I won’t disagree that there are not as many dominant teams are there used to be, I think another thing that should be discussed is the lower talent level of this year. Yes, we have our Mike Harts and our Tim Tebows, but if there was so much “parity”, wouldn’t there be 25-50 different “standout” players we were arguing over for the first round of the NFL? Instead only the frontrunners for the Heisman are in the conversation, and no one else ever gets talked about.

Maybe I’m wrong, I don’t know. Just an idea. Anyway, here are my top 5:

  1. LSU (7-1, BSOS Rank: #12)
  2. Ohio State (8-0, BSOS Rank: #100)
  3. Oregon (6-1, BSOS Rank: #33)
  4. Arizona State (7-0, BSOS Rank: #103)
  5. Boston College (7-0, BSOS Rank: #104)

Clearly ASU and BC had some help because they didn’t have a game this week (especially as the Sun Devils have yet to play Cal, USC, and Oregon), but all we really care about are those top two. I don’t know how the BCS will shake up, but LSU will be at least in the top 3 due to USF losing, so not bad. Maybe my formula will work itself out once all the games are played; who knows.

Here are the five toughest schedules to date:

  1. Washington (2-5, BR: #89)
  2. Notre Dame (1-7, BR: #108)
  3. Duke (1-6, BR: #107)
  4. Stanford (3-4, BR: #71)
  5. Auburn (5-3, BR: #26)

And the five weakest:

  1. Hawaii (7-0, BR: #64)
  2. Memphis (3-4, BR: #96)
  3. USC (6-1, BR: #40)
  4. Western Kentucky (4-3, BR: #74)
  5. Kansas (7-0, BR: #10)

Hawaii is not getting any help from their opponents. Not including FCS teams, their opponents have a collective winning percentage of 14.8%, the worst by far in the FBS. To put that in perspective? USC, third on that list, has an opponent’s winning percentage of almost double that, at 28.6%.

Meanwhile, the poor Huskies are stuck with the highest caliber of opponents, collectively winning 79.1% of their games. Rebuilding is a tough road…

October 21, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 6

After some data entering, number crunching, and formula adjustments, I give you my own patented college football rankings after five weeks of play. I’ll explain the flaws after the top 5:

  1. LSU (5-0, BSOS Rank: #39)
  2. Kentucky (5-0, BSOS Rank: #61)
  3. USC (4-0, BSOS Rank: #63)
  4. Oregon (4-1, BSOS Rank: #27)
  5. Nebraska (4-1, BSOS Rank: #30)

Now, there are still some obvious problems. Yes, I know numerous ranked teams lost yesterday, but that doesn’t equate to Kentucky being the number 2 team in the land. And Oregon just lost to California (who is #8 in my system), so why isn’t Cal higher? Formulas are a tricky thing. I’ll keep working on it this week and see if I can get a better one in place next week. The tweaks I made this week are still an improvement; remember, Rome wasn’t built in a day.

Now for the teams playing the toughest schedules:

  1. Akron (2-3, BR: #55)
  2. Auburn (3-2, BR: #14)
  3. Washington (2-3, BR: #57)
  4. Stanford (1-3, BR: #92)
  5. Minnesota (1-4, BR: #96)

And the weakest schedules:

  1. Kansas (4-0, BR: #70)
  2. Purdue (5-0, BR: #68)
  3. Hawaii (5-0, BR: #61)
  4. Connecticut (5-0, BR: #51)
  5. Cincinnati (5-0, BR: #45)

None of those five teams have played anyone that currently has a winning record.

There might be a few more college football related posts today, but after that I’ll get back to some topics that have a more widespread interest.

September 30, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 5

After yesterday’s games I have decided to fully unveil the Belmore Rankings. I’m still not sold on my formulas (there’s something afoot when there are so many undefeated teams are not in the top 25 while my (admittedly disappointing) Washington Huskies rank #22), but I’ll let it go another two weeks or so and tweak it from there if I need to. Here are my top 5 teams (BSOS stands for Belmore Strength of Schedule):

  1. LSU (4-0, BSOS Rank: #36)
  2. USC (3-0, BSOS Rank: #45)
  3. Oregon (4-0, BSOS Rank: #58)
  4. Nebraska (3-1, BSOS Rank: #34)
  5. Florida State (2-1, BSOS Rank: 31)

My big problem there is Florida State. They had a bye last week, so they didn’t have a chance to lose (my rankings may be objective based on a formula I’ve created, but that doesn’t mean I can’t be subjective when judging teams), and two of the three teams they have played won (with the other having a bye), so without doing anything they moved up a lot. I’m not too hot on Oregon or Nebraska either, but like I said, we’ll give it a few weeks to see if things even out more.

This is just a theory of mine to see if computers can really decide who is the best undefeated (or one- or two-loss, depending on the outcome of the season) team in college football. I’m not a big fan of the BCS, but I do like numbers and computations to find an “objective” top team. The reason I did full rankings is that after putting in all of the data for the top teams, I had to rank every team anyway, so I thought I’d share.

For those that are curious, here are the teams playing the toughest schedules (along with their BR, a.k.a. Belmore Ranking)

  1. Louisiana-Monroe (0-3, BR Rank: tied for #111)
  2. Tennessee (2-2, BR Rank: tied for #7)
  3. Arkansas (1-2, BR Rank: tied for #44)
  4. Mississippi (1-2, BR Rank: tied for #69)
  5. Florida International (0-4, BR Rank: tied for #111)

And the weakest schedules:

  1. Kansas (4-0, BR Rank: tied for #100)
  2. Penn State (3-1, BR Rank: tied for #92)
  3. Florida Atlantic (3-1, BR Rank: tied for #92)
  4. Baylor (3-1, BR Rank: tied for #92)
  5. Purdue (4-0, BR Rank: tied for #69)

Not a whole lot of good games next weekend, aside from California @ Oregon, so we’ll see if anything shakes up.

And don’t worry, I’ll have quite the post about UW later today.

September 23, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment