The Daily Belmore

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Belmore Rankings: Week 11

Ready for a shocker?  I have Texas Tech at #4 and Texas at #1:

  1. Texas (9-1)
  2. Alabama (10-0)
  3. Florida (8-1)
  4. Texas Tech (10-0)
  5. Utah (10-0)
  6. Boise State (9-0)
  7. USC (8-1)
  8. Oklahoma (9-1)
  9. Georgia (8-2)
  10. Ohio State (8-2)

The reason I didn’t post my rankings last week is that Texas Tech was #5, with Texas still at #1.  Credit Texas with the ridiculous schedule to this point (or credit the Big 12, but you get my point).  Assuming both teams win out, I don’t see Texas Tech getting higher than Texas due to the schedules disparity (Tech played some cupcakes to start the season that are really hurting them in my system).  But the chances of them both winning out are not very high, and hopefully the playing field will help decide this snafu.

What I’m more interested in (due to having a week to digest the Texas/Texas Tech problem) is that two non-BCS teams are in the top 10.  In theory, they should both win out, keeping them high in the rankings.  *cough* Playoff! *cough*

Here are the top 6 conferences:

  1. Big 12
  2. Big East
  3. SEC
  4. Big Ten
  5. Mountain West
  6. ACC
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November 10, 2008 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 8

Things are starting to get interesting in the ol’ world of college football.  More teams are beating up on each other, and the picture of who the true top teams are is becoming clearer and clearer.  Behold, my top 10:

  1. Texas (7-0)
  2. Alabama (7-0)
  3. Oklahoma (6-1)
  4. Georgia (6-1)
  5. Oklahoma State (7-0)
  6. Ohio State (7-1)
  7. Boise State (6-0)
  8. USC (5-1)
  9. Florida (5-1)
  10. Utah (8-0)

Before everyone jumps all over the low USC ranking, remember: USC beat Ohio State.  That is considered a good loss for OSU.  USC lost to Oregon State.  That is a very bad loss (and the Beavers beating up on my Huskies, currently ranked #119, doesn’t make it look any better).  If USC is truly the better team (take out the first half of the Oregon State game, and they’ve played the best football in the nation, period), it will reflect in the ratings as the season goes on.  We’re just over halfway; there is still a lot of football to be played.

Now, when it comes to the top conferences, the Pac-10 is looking more and more pathetic.  They have lost ground from last week when I said they were slowly catching back up.  If Washington can beat Notre Dame, that will definitely help, but let’s not hold our breath:

  1. Big 12
  2. SEC
  3. Big Ten
  4. Big East
  5. ACC
  6. Mountain West

I’m only going to show the top 6 conferences from now on, as there are six BCS conferences, so that’s all that matters.  Oops, did I just say the Mountain West is more deserving of a BCS birth than the Pac-10?  I just might have.  Not like it matters, as I still think USC will make it’s way into the title game.

October 23, 2008 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 7

Vanderbilt lost to a bad team, Oklahoma lost to a good one, and Florida beat a good one, leaving us with this:

  1. Alabama
  2. Texas
  3. Oklahoma State
  4. Michigan State
  5. Boise State
  6. Wake Forest
  7. USC
  8. Oklahoma
  9. Florida
  10. Ohio State

The anomaly seem to be Michigan State and Wake Forest, but I have no qualms.  The whole methodology of my formula is taking care of business against other teams who are taking care of business, which they are both doing.  But, one loss can certainly have its toll, as Vanderbilt dropped from #2 to #18 in one week.  We shall see as the season goes on.  However, SEC vs. Big 12 seems about right, since they’re the two top conferences:

  1. Big 12
  2. SEC
  3. Big Ten
  4. ACC
  5. Big East
  6. Mountain West
  7. Pacific-10
  8. WAC
  9. Independent
  10. Mid-American
  11. Conference USA
  12. Sun Belt

The Pac-10 is slowly creeping up on the Mountain West, and we can only cross our fingers that the top 6 conferences are indeed the BCS conferences by the end of the year.  Otherwise, well, it will show how worthless the BCS really is.  Without a playoff, it is as good of a tool as we’re going to get, but that certainly does not mean it is better than a playoff.  It is, in fact, much worse.

October 13, 2008 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 15

Here’s how I see it after the final week of the regular season:

  1. LSU (11-2)
  2. Virginia Tech (11-2)
  3. Ohio State (11-1)
  4. Missouri (11-2)
  5. West Virginia (10-2)
  6. Oklahoma (11-2)
  7. Georgia (10-2)
  8. Kansas (11-1)
  9. Arizona State (10-2)
  10. Florida (9-3)
  11. Brigham Young (10-2)
  12. USC (10-2)
  13. Boston College (10-3)
  14. Hawaii (12-0)
  15. South Florida (9-3)
  16. Illinois (9-3)
  17. Clemson (9-3)
  18. UCF (10-3)
  19. Virginia (9-3)
  20. Texas (9-3)
  21. Tennessee (9-4)
  22. Boise State (10-2)
  23. Cincinnati (9-3)
  24. Connecticut (9-3)
  25. Wisconsin (9-3)

Not the consensus, and I don’t like that Missouri is ahead of Oklahoma (although, the point of this poll is to not heavily weigh one game, nor is it to factor in margin of victory, much to the dismay of poor Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops). I’ll see about some tweaks in the offseason, but all in all I think it did a pretty good job.

Now, if I ruled the lands of college football? I’d have a playoff with those top 8 (or 16 if you want to add an extra week) teams, leading to two semifinal games played at two of the BCS bowls, and then the championship game at another. The fourth bowl could be either a third place game (which would be tough on the fans for travel) or it could have it’s classic match-up using teams that did not make it to the playoffs. I don’t have all the specifics, I just don’t think it’s fair to have everything decided by computers (although I still think that seasons like this are exactly why the BCS was created…to add some hard numbers to the speculation showed by the voters).

Who played the toughest schedule this year? Shockingly, it was Washington (4-9, BR: #92). Their opponents had a collective .622 winning percentage, the highest by a full point in all of FBS schools.

The easiest schedule goes to Western Kentucky (7-5, BR: #77), leapfrogging Hawaii at the end of the year. Their opponents had a collective .271 winning percentage. That’s worse than Hawaii, who was penalized with two FCS schools that I calculated as 0% teams. Pretty weak, Western Kentucky.

December 2, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 14

LSU goes down!  Kansas goes down!  Who’s number 1?  Here’s what I think:

  1. West Virginia (10-1, BSOS Rank: #52)
  2. Ohio State (11-1, BSOS Rank: #81)
  3. Missouri (11-1, BSOS Rank: #90)
  4. LSU (10-2, BSOS Rank: #32)
  5. Georgia (10-2, BSOS Rank: #46)

Not your typical poll, but then again there is the whole thing of how my poll has absolutely no weight in subjectivity.  So suck it up.  I’ll post the entire top 25 after championship week.

The toughest schedules so far:

  1. Nebraska (5-7, BR: #72)
  2. Notre Dame (3-9, BR: #101)
  3. Washington (4-8, BR: #89)
  4. Duke (1-11, BR: #116)
  5. Mississippi (3-9, BR: #102)

And the weakest:

  1. Hawaii (11-0, BR: #20)
  2. Western Kentucky (7-5, BR: #75)
  3. Boise State (10-2, BR: #27)
  4. Kansas (11-1, BR: #14)
  5. Memphis (7-5, BR: #64)

It is still my opinion that Hawaii has not proven anything and should not play in a BCS bowl.  Then again, I would have the top 8 teams at the end of the year be in a playoff, but that’s why they don’t pay me the big bucks.

November 25, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 13

We’re closing in on the end of the college football season.  Pretty crazy season, no?  Here are my top 5:

  1. LSU (10-1, BSOS Rank: #30)
  2. Ohio State (11-1, BSOS Rank: #77)
  3. West Virginia (9-1, BSOS Rank: #65)
  4. Arizona State (9-1, BSOS Rank: #71)
  5. Missouri (10-1, BSOS Rank: #87)

Kansas will jump back up there (assuming they win) after they play Missouri.  Their schedule is really weak at this point.

Here are the 5 toughest schedules so far:

  1. Nebraska (5-6, BR: #61)
  2. Washington (4-7, BR: #83)
  3. Duke (1-10, BR: #114)
  4. Notre Dame (2-9, BR: #107)
  5. Mississippi (3-8, BR: #99)

And the 5 weakest schedules so far:

  1. Hawaii (10-0, BR: #24)
  2. Western Kentucky (7-4, BR: #71)
  3. Boise State (10-1, BR: #18)
  4. Navy (7-4, BR: #58)
  5. Kansas (11-0, BR: #7)

November 18, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 12

Down goes Ohio State! Now that there are only two unbeaten teams left, who will really end up in the national title game? Like I said, Kansas has a chance to jump up with the last few teams on their schedule, although it wouldn’t surprise me to see the rankings (the BCS ones, not mine) stay pretty stagnant if someone at the top doesn’t lose. Even with help in the computers, I don’t think real voters will help out them too much unless they dominate whoever they will face in the Big XII title game (I hope I didn’t just jinx them…).

The top 5 according to my formula:

  1. LSU (9-1, BSOS Ranking: #11)
  2. Oregon (8-1, BSOS Ranking: #10)
  3. Arizona State (9-1, BSOS Ranking: #59)
  4. Kansas (10-0, BSOS Ranking: #112)
  5. Ohio State (10-1, BSOS Ranking: #86)

As I’m too lame to remember to keep historical rankings, I have no idea what Kansas’ strength of schedule was last week. I have a feeling a lot of the teams on their schedule lost this week. And yes, I’m also too lame to look that up. What, you think a blog needs a fact checker? Pah!

The toughest schedules in the country:

  1. Duke (1-9, BR: #112)
  2. Notre Dame (1-9, BR: #113)
  3. Washington (3-7, BR: #93)
  4. Nebraska (5-6, BR: #63)
  5. Utah State (0-10, BR: #120)

Husky fans, I think I know how all of us are feeling right now. But as you can see, we’ve had a very hard year, so we should keep our thoughts (and prayers, if that’s your thing) with Jake right now. (Have no idea what I’m talking about? Go here.)

The weakest schedules:

  1. Hawaii (9-0, BR: #29)
  2. Western Kentucky (6-4, BR: #74)
  3. Florida Atlantic (5-4, BR: #73)
  4. Navy (6-4, BR: #66)
  5. Nevada (5-4, BR: #72)

I have decided to post my full Top 25 after the regular season, and again after championship week. I might post it again after bowl season, but those games hardly matter (including the BCS championship game) in my opinion due to their large level of separation from the rest of the season.

November 11, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 11

What, you thought just because I was on vacation I wouldn’t update these?  You must be crazy!

  1. Oregon (8-1, BSOS Rank: #7)
  2. LSU (8-1, BSOS Rank: #8)
  3. Ohio State (10-0, BSOS Rank: #98)
  4. Oklahoma (8-1, BSOS Rank: #59)
  5. Arizona State (8-1, BSOS Rank: #61)

Not too shabby, eh? What I find most amazing is that ASU loses to a good team and doesn’t fall very far.  Isn’t that how the real rankings should work? And on a side note, Kansas (9-0) is at #6, and just needs to play (and win, obviously) the rest of their schedule to hop over ASU and maybe even climb to the top 2.

And the toughest schedules being played:

  1. Duke (1-8, BR: #109)
  2. Notre Dame (1-8, BR: #110)
  3. Washington (3-6, BR: #85)
  4. Nebraska (4-6, BR: #75)
  5. Colorado (5-5, BR: #52)

I did not think I’d see a team like Colorado in that mix.  Here are the weakest schedules:

  1. Hawaii (8-0, BR: #41)
  2. Western Kentucky (6-3, BR: #72)
  3. Florida Atlantic (4-4, BR: #82)
  4. Memphis (4-5, BR: #89)
  5. Nevada (5-4, BR: #73)

November 4, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 10

Well, just a jumble of the top 5 this week, but still the same five teams:

  1. LSU (7-1, BSOS Rank: #15)
  2. Boston College (8-0, BSOS Rank: #91)
  3. Arizona State (8-0, BSOS Rank: #93)
  4. Oregon (7-1, BSOS Rank: #21)
  5. Ohio State (9-0, BSOS Rank: #104)

And for the first time since I started doing these ratings, UW (BR: #99) has fallen below WSU (BR: #82). So sad…

The teams playing the toughest schedules:

  1. Notre Dame (1-7, BR: #107)
  2. Washington (2-6, BR: #99)
  3. Duke (1-7, BR: #108)
  4. Mississippi (2-7, BR: #103)
  5. Stanford (3-5, BR: #76)

And the teams playing the weakest schedules:

  1. Hawaii (8-0, BR: #46)
  2. Memphis (4-4, BR: #90)
  3. Western Kentucky (5-3, BR: #72)
  4. Florida Atlantic (4-4, BR: #80)
  5. Southern Miss (4-3, BR: #70)

The only other undefeated team I haven’t already mentioned is Kansas, who comes in at #6. I can’t wait until next week!

October 28, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Take That, BCS!

Here are the top 5 from the BCS:

  1. Ohio State
  2. Boston College
  3. LSU
  4. Arizona State
  5. Oregon

And here are my top 5:

  1. LSU
  2. Ohio State
  3. Oregon
  4. Arizona State
  5. Boston College

Clearly I’m doing alright (for now).  Gotta love computers!

October 22, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment