The Daily Belmore

opinions, links, and more…

Belmore Rankings: Week 15

Here’s how I see it after the final week of the regular season:

  1. LSU (11-2)
  2. Virginia Tech (11-2)
  3. Ohio State (11-1)
  4. Missouri (11-2)
  5. West Virginia (10-2)
  6. Oklahoma (11-2)
  7. Georgia (10-2)
  8. Kansas (11-1)
  9. Arizona State (10-2)
  10. Florida (9-3)
  11. Brigham Young (10-2)
  12. USC (10-2)
  13. Boston College (10-3)
  14. Hawaii (12-0)
  15. South Florida (9-3)
  16. Illinois (9-3)
  17. Clemson (9-3)
  18. UCF (10-3)
  19. Virginia (9-3)
  20. Texas (9-3)
  21. Tennessee (9-4)
  22. Boise State (10-2)
  23. Cincinnati (9-3)
  24. Connecticut (9-3)
  25. Wisconsin (9-3)

Not the consensus, and I don’t like that Missouri is ahead of Oklahoma (although, the point of this poll is to not heavily weigh one game, nor is it to factor in margin of victory, much to the dismay of poor Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops). I’ll see about some tweaks in the offseason, but all in all I think it did a pretty good job.

Now, if I ruled the lands of college football? I’d have a playoff with those top 8 (or 16 if you want to add an extra week) teams, leading to two semifinal games played at two of the BCS bowls, and then the championship game at another. The fourth bowl could be either a third place game (which would be tough on the fans for travel) or it could have it’s classic match-up using teams that did not make it to the playoffs. I don’t have all the specifics, I just don’t think it’s fair to have everything decided by computers (although I still think that seasons like this are exactly why the BCS was created…to add some hard numbers to the speculation showed by the voters).

Who played the toughest schedule this year? Shockingly, it was Washington (4-9, BR: #92). Their opponents had a collective .622 winning percentage, the highest by a full point in all of FBS schools.

The easiest schedule goes to Western Kentucky (7-5, BR: #77), leapfrogging Hawaii at the end of the year. Their opponents had a collective .271 winning percentage. That’s worse than Hawaii, who was penalized with two FCS schools that I calculated as 0% teams. Pretty weak, Western Kentucky.

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December 2, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Well, I’m Kinda Close to the BCS

But not quite there. Which is good; I’ll take it!

The BCS has come out today, with the top 5 teams comprised of the following:

  1. Ohio State
  2. South Florida
  3. Boston College
  4. LSU
  5. Oklahoma

And again, my top 5:

  1. South Florida
  2. LSU
  3. Arizona State
  4. Kentucky
  5. Oregon

They don’t really agree on much.  But after some number crunching, my rankings are an average of 4 spots different than the BCS.  I want that lower, but it’s not bad.  As I’ve said all along, the point of my rankings are to figure out if computers can actually determine the top 2 teams at the end of the year.  The more data there is, the more accurate the rankings will be.  It could still be completely wrong, but it’s too early to tell.  We’ll find out at the end of the year.

October 14, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 8

The sky has fallen, my formula has officially failed me (or has it?).  Rankings for week 8 (I’m putting them up now even though the BSU game hasn’t been played):

  1. South Florida (6-0, BSOS Rank: #61)
  2. LSU (6-1, BSOS Rank: #11)
  3. Arizona State (7-0, BSOS Rank: #97)
  4. Kentucky (6-1, BSOS Rank: #37)
  5. Oregon (5-1, BSOS Rank: #29)

I know, I know.  That doesn’t look too great.  Later today I’ll look at the BCS rankings and see how far off I am (I don’t want to emulate the BCS, but it is a good barometer to go by).  I’m sorry, USF fans, they are not the number one team in the country.  Maybe next week I’ll have some kinks worked out.

Now, for all the Dawg fans out there, don’t feel too bad.  Yes, we played poorly last night, but look at the toughest schedules:

  1. Washington (2-4, BR: #82)
  2. Notre Dame (1-6, BR: #105)
  3. Stanford (2-4, BR: #85)
  4. Duke (1-6, BR: #107)
  5. North Carolina (2-5, BR: #91)

Yup, that’s right.  Through seven weeks, UW has the toughest schedule in the nation.  We should still be better than 2-4, but at least we can take solace in the fact that the cards are stacked against us.

And the weakest schedules:

  1. Hawaii (7-0, BR: #55)
  2. Memphis (2-4, BR: #102)
  3. Arkansas State (3-3, BR: #86)
  4. Northern Illinois (1-6, BR: #116)
  5. Texas Tech (6-1, BR: #36)

I’m sorry, people, Hawaii is not playing in a BCS game this year.   They are not the Boise State of last year.  They are a dominate team in a bad conference who hasn’t played anyone.  Their opponents have a combined record of 8-25 (not including the TWO FCS teams they have played).  If you want to be taken seriously, try playing against someone who matters.  Beating up on a bunch of bad teams does not make you a good one.

October 14, 2007 Posted by | Musings, Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Belmore Rankings: Week 7

Due to the Boise State game playing tonight, these are a tad late:

  1. LSU (6-0, BSOS Rank: #34)
  2. Arizona State (6-0, BSOS Rank: #63)
  3. South Florida (5-0, BSOS Rank: #64)
  4. Missouri (5-0, BSOS Rank: #77)
  5. Illinois (5-1, BSOS Rank: #21)

Not your average poll, huh?  I like the way the number are working out (I did another tweak since last week), but I’m sure I’ll change it some more as the season goes on.

The toughest schedules:

  1. Stanford (2-3, BR: #67)
  2. Minnesota (1-5, BR: #103)
  3. Duke (1-5, BR: #104)
  4. Akron (3-3, BR: #50)
  5. Washington (2-3, BR: #73)

And the weakest:

  1. Hawaii (6-0, BR: #70)
  2. Connecticut (5-0, BR: #28)
  3. Northern Illinois (1-5, BR: #115)
  4. Texas Tech (5-1, BR: #49)
  5. Memphis (2-3, BR: #98)

October 7, 2007 Posted by | Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment